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Recent Posts
- Sequestration rules will change
- Moving forward with methane levies
- Agricultural GHG bullets are firing randomly
- Key methane technologies misfire
- Simon Upton, methane and forestry
- Voluntary sequestration schemes create opportunities as well as confusion
- Carbon credits are not created equal
- Dairy is fundamental to New Zealand’s future but it needs an informed debate
- Carbon farming rocket has taken off
- Mega changes announced to forestry and carbon policies
- Climate Change Commission pours reality on HWEN proposals
- Wrestling with methane metrics
- The methane issue is far from settled
- Can agriculture meet its methane targets?
- The future for sheep
- Fonterra’s new capital structure gets closer
- Are pine trees the problem or the solution?
- He Waka Eke Noa is now the main game in rural politics
- HWEN submission
- Forestry rules about to be upturned
- He Waka Eke Noa caught in crosswinds
- Carbon farming is back in the melting pot
- Agriculture’s greenhouse gas proposals need a reset
- The carbon price marches on
- 2022 will be tumultuous for New Zealand’s primary industries
- Economic storm clouds lie ahead
- Managing inflation will be painful
- Crunch times ahead for agricultural methane and nitrous oxide
- New twists to carbon farming
- Dairy is a key to New Zealand’s future
- Wrestling with forestry decisions
- The COVID trajectory has taken off
- New Zealand needs a COVID reset
- Post-1989 forest owners face complex decisions
- Fonterra moves on strategy and stucture
- The ETS is both a goldmine and a minefield
- Carbon farming will determine the future of sheep, beef and production forestry
- Institutional investors outgun Government at carbon auction
- Food-derived opioids are a medical frontier
- Carbon farmers need to understand the ETS
- Carbon-farming economics are also attractive on easier country
- Carbon farming steps forward on the North Island hard-hill country
- The big picture with sheep
- Sheep remain dominant on South Island hill and high country
- Intensive sheep and beef provide cash but wealth depends on capital gain
- Searching for the future on the North Island hills
- Fonterra’s restructure proposal risks the co-operative
- Fonterra heads towards a new capital structure with scope for unintended consequences
- Sheep and beef farms are getting squeezed
- A2 moves from a brand to a category
Category Archives: COVID-19
The COVID trajectory has taken off
The situation is becoming more dismal with exponential growth well under way Almost five days have slipped by since I wrote that we needed a COVID19 reset. Since then, the infection trajectory has taken off, as I both feared and … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19, Uncategorized
8 Comments
New Zealand needs a COVID reset
The current COVID strategy needs an urgent reset. It is now evident that staying in Level 3 over coming weeks will lead to a dismal Christmas Last year I wrote many articles on COVID19, starting five weeks before the first … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19, Uncategorized
12 Comments
The winding path of COVID-19
The COVID-19 path is turning a corner but there are still huge challenges ahead. 2021 will be another year where lifestyles and the economy will be dominated by COVID-19 This is the nineteenth time I have written about COVID-19 since … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19, Uncategorized
4 Comments
Coronavirus border policies need a deeper rethink
New Zealand’s current coronavirus border policies fail to reflect the current Northern Hemisphere surge in cases and the consequent enhanced risks to COVID-19 management in New Zealand There are big contradictions within New Zealand’s coronavirus border policies. There is potential … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19
16 Comments
COVID-19 scenarios are becoming increasingly evident
Despite the uncertainties, there is emerging evidence as to how COVID-19 is now likely to play out, both in New Zealand and across the globe. Identifying these scenarios is fundamental to subsequent response strategies for economic recovery There are two … Continue reading
Posted in China, COVID-19, Uncategorized
18 Comments
COVID-19 is a science of uncertainty and an art of probability
COVID-19 illustrates the difficulties society has in dealing with uncertainties and the stresses this creates No one can say with confidence what our COVID-9 world is going to look like over the next 12 to 24 months. The rules and … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19
11 Comments
Monday’s COVID-19 decision will be a defining moment for New Zealand
The forthcoming decision as to when we should move to COVID LEVEL 3 is high risk, with expectations high, but not enough information for confident decision-making The decision the New Zealand Government makes on Monday 20 April is likely to … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19
14 Comments
Contact-tracing will be the Achilles heel of the COVID-19 program at LEVEL 3
There are big risks to the COVID-19 campaign if we move to LEVEL 3 too quickly without greatly improved contact-tracing. There is no way back if we get this wrong Last Thursday (9 April), many Kiwis would have been feeling … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19
18 Comments
COVID-19 decision-makers are flying blind from insufficient testing data
There is a need for COVID-19 serology testing to complement the current PCR testing with swabs. The current deficiency threatens good decision-making around the lockdown. The fundamental problem facing COVID decision-makers is that they are flying blind owing to lack … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19
11 Comments
Can we stamp out COVID-19?
The key issue with eliminating COVID-19 from New Zealand is whether or not the transmission rate, alternatively worded as the reproduction rate, R., can be reduced to well below ‘1’ and kept there. This value of R=1 is where each … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19
7 Comments